Away Dogs with Near-Even Odds
Backs away underdogs in spread bets where their average odds fall between even money and approximately +118, and where the market implies they have better than a 46.4% chance of winning despite underdog status.
Part of all MLB ATS system records.
When This System Fires
The system places a pick only when every one of these triggers holds true at game time.
Book Avg Away Spread Odds
Implied Win Probability
Market implies the team wins more than 46% of the time.
Market Role
Team is the underdog.
TOTAL PICKS
2858
HIT RATE
67.85%
RECORD
1030-488
ROI
+29.54%
Recent Picks
| Date | Game | Side | Result | CLV | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, '26 | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | away | W | +2.95 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 8, '26 | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| Jun 8, '26 | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | home | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 7, '26 | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | home | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 7, '26 | Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers | away | W | +2.95 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 7, '26 | Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays | away | L | +2.95 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 7, '26 | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | home | W | +0.05 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 6, '26 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins | home | W | +0.32 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 6, '26 | Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays | away | L | -2.68 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 6, '26 | Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers | home | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 6, '26 | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | away | W | +2.95 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 5, '26 | Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays | away | W | +2.95 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 5, '26 | Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins | home | L | +0.05 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 5, '26 | Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers | home | W | — | +$0.91 |
| Jun 4, '26 | Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves | away | W | +2.95 | +$0.91 |
| Jun 4, '26 | San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies | away | L | +3.00 | -$1.00 |
| Jun 4, '26 | Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox | away | W | +2.14 | +$0.91 |
| May 24, '26 | Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles | away | W | -0.36 | +$0.91 |
| May 24, '26 | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers | home | L | — | -$1.00 |
| May 24, '26 | Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs | away | W | +2.95 | +$0.91 |
Profit Curve
$1 flat-stake cumulative profit from graded picks, sorted by settlement date. Net: -$1563.50 across 219 picks.
PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN
1030
1518
488
WINS
TOTAL BETS
LOSSES
Picks by Month
Related MLB ATS Systems
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Underdogs with Volatile HR Offense
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Underdogs with Volatile Power
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Frequently Asked Questions
Does the "Away Dogs with Near-Even Odds" MLB ATS system still work?▾
The system's live record is 1030-488 (67.85% hit rate) with 29.54% ROI across 1518 graded picks. Closing line value averages -0.35, meaning picks are consistently behind the sharpest closing price. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results — track it forward to confirm the edge persists.
When does the Away Dogs with Near-Even Odds system fire a pick?▾
The system triggers a MLB ats pick only when all 3 of its filter conditions are satisfied at game time. See the "When This System Fires" section above for the exact thresholds on each condition — the system waits for every trigger before placing a bet, which is why sample sizes are smaller than total games.
What is the sample size for the Away Dogs with Near-Even Odds system?▾
The system has been evaluated against 2858 total qualifying games, with 1518 of those reaching a graded outcome (wins + losses). Sample size matters — any system under ~15-20 graded picks is noise; 50+ is where a real edge shows statistical signal.